Crystal Order BlockThe Crystal Order Block Indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify key institutional order blocks with high precision. This indicator is ideal for traders following Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Institutional Trading Strategies, providing clear insights into potential high-probability trade setups.
🔹 Key Features:
✔ Automatic Order Block Detection: Identifies valid bullish & bearish order blocks.
✔ Unmitigated Order Blocks Highlighted: Focuses on fresh order blocks for improved trade opportunities.
✔ Trend-Focused Trading: Works best when combined with market structure analysis.
✔ Multi-Timeframe Support: Suitable for scalping, swing trading, and intraday trading.
✔ Risk Management Enhancement: Helps traders refine entries and exits based on institutional price movements.
📈 How to Use the Crystal Order Block Indicator:
🔹 Identifying Order Blocks:
➡ The indicator automatically detects order blocks formed by institutional trading activity.
➡ Unmitigated order blocks are highlighted, indicating areas where price may react.
🔹 High-Probability Trade Setups:
➡ Buy Setup: Look for a bullish order block in an uptrend, confirming strength.
➡ Sell Setup: Identify a bearish order block in a downtrend for potential short trades.
🔹 Order Block Mitigation:
➡ The updated version filters out mitigated order blocks, allowing traders to focus on fresh trading opportunities.
📊 Best Practices & Timeframes:
🔸 Works on all timeframes, but higher accuracy is observed on M30 and above.
🔸 Best suited for Smart Money Trading, Institutional Trading, and Price Action Strategies.
🔸 Should be used with liquidity concepts and market structure analysis for enhanced precision.
⚠ Important Note:
This indicator is a technical tool designed to assist traders in market analysis. It does not guarantee success and should be used alongside proper risk management and trading discipline.
Cerca negli script per "market structure"
RSI Divergence[UgurTash] – Real-Time📈 RSI Divergence – Real-Time, Adaptive, and Intelligent RSI Divergence Detection
🚀 What Does This Indicator Do?
RSI Divergence is a real-time divergence detection tool that helps traders identify bullish and bearish divergences between price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Unlike traditional RSI-based indicators, this script offers:
✅ Real-time detection – No need to wait for bar closes or repainting.
✅ Dynamic time-frame adaptation – The script automatically adjusts RSI settings based on the selected chart time frame.
✅ Multi-layered divergence analysis – Supports short-term, medium-term, and long-term divergence detection with an optional all-term mode that dynamically selects the best configuration.
🛠 How Does It Work?
Pivot-Based Divergence Detection:
The script analyzes pivot points on both price and RSI to determine valid divergences.
Bullish divergence occurs when price forms a lower low but RSI trends higher, indicating potential upward momentum.
Bearish divergence occurs when price forms a higher high but RSI trends lower, signaling possible weakness.
Adaptive RSI Calculation:
The RSI length is dynamically adjusted based on the chosen time frame:
Short-Term: RSI (7) for 1-5 min charts.
Medium-Term: RSI (14) for 15-60 min charts.
Long-Term: RSI (28) for 4H+ charts.
In All-Term Mode, the script automatically determines the best RSI length based on the active chart timeframe.
Smart Visualization & Alerts:
Bullish divergences are marked with green lines & labels.
Bearish divergences are highlighted in red.
Users can customize symbol size, divergence labels, and colors.
Instant alerts notify traders as soon as a divergence is detected.
🎯 How to Use This Indicator?
📌 For Trend Reversals: Look for bullish divergences at key support levels and bearish divergences at resistance zones.
📌 For Trend Continuation: Combine divergence signals with moving averages, volume analysis, or price action strategies to confirm trades.
📌 For Scalping & Swing Trading: Adjust the time-frame settings to match your trading style.
🏆 What Makes This Indicator Original?
🔹 Unlike standard RSI divergence indicators, this script features real-time analysis with no repainting, allowing for instant trading decisions.
🔹 The time-frame adaptive RSI makes it dynamic and suitable for any market condition.
🔹 The multi-term divergence detection offers flexibility, giving traders a precise view of both short-term & long-term market structure.
⚠ Note: No indicator guarantees 100% accuracy. Always use additional confirmations and sound risk management strategies.
If you find this tool useful, don’t forget to support & share! 🚀
SMA with Std Dev Bands (Futures/US Stocks RTH)Rolling Daily SMA With Std Dev Bands
Upgrade your technical analysis with Rolling Daily SMA With Std Dev Bands, a powerful indicator that dynamically adjusts to your trading instrument. Whether you’re analyzing futures or US stocks during regular trading hours (RTH), this indicator seamlessly applies the correct logic to calculate a rolling daily Simple Moving Average (SMA) with customizable standard deviation bands for precise trend and volatility tracking.
Key Features:
✅ Automatic Instrument Detection– The indicator automatically recognizes whether you're trading futures or US equities and applies the correct daily lookback period based on your chart’s timeframe.
- Futures: Uses full trading day lengths (e.g., 1380 bars for 1‑minute charts).
- US Stocks (RTH): Uses regular session lengths (e.g., 390 bars for 1‑minute charts).
✅ Rolling Daily SMA (3‑pt Purple Line) – A continuously updated daily moving average, giving you an adaptive trend indicator based on market structure.
✅ Three Standard Deviation Bands (1‑pt White Lines) –
- Customizable multipliers allow you to adjust each band’s width.
- Toggle each band on or off to tailor the indicator to your strategy.
- The inner band area is color-filled: light green when the SMA is rising, light red when falling, helping you quickly identify trend direction.
✅ Works on Any Chart Timeframe – Whether you trade on 1-minute, 3-minute, 5-minute, or 15-minute charts, the indicator adjusts dynamically to provide accurate rolling daily calculations.
# How to Use:
📌 Identify Trends & Volatility Zones – The rolling daily SMA acts as a dynamic trend guide, while the standard deviation bands help spot potential overbought/oversold conditions.
📌 Customize for Precision – Adjust band multipliers and toggle each band on/off to match your trading style.
📌 Trade Smarter – The filled inner band offers instant visual feedback on market momentum, while the outer bands highlight potential breakout zones.
🔹 This is the perfect tool for traders looking to combine trend-following with volatility analysis in an easy-to-use, adaptive indicator.
🚀 Add Rolling Daily SMA With Std Dev Bands to your chart today and enhance your market insights!
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*Disclaimer: This indicator is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always use proper risk management and conduct your own research before trading.*
Smart Trend Tracker Name: Smart Trend Tracker
Description:
The Smart Trend Tracker indicator is designed to analyze market cycles and identify key trend reversal points. It automatically marks support and resistance levels based on price dynamics, helping traders better navigate market structure.
Application:
Trend Analysis: The indicator helps determine when a trend may be nearing a reversal, which is useful for making entry or exit decisions.
Support and Resistance Levels: Automatically marks key levels, simplifying chart analysis.
Reversal Signals: Provides visual signals for potential reversal points, which can be used for counter-trend trading strategies.
How It Works:
Candlestick Sequence Analysis: The indicator tracks the number of consecutive candles in one direction (up or down). If the price continues to move N bars in a row in one direction, the system records this as an impulse phase.
Trend Exhaustion Detection: After a series of directional bars, the market may reach an overbought or oversold point. If the price continues to move in the same direction but with weakening momentum, the indicator records a possible trend slowdown.
Chart Display: The indicator marks potential reversal points with numbers or special markers. It can also display support and resistance levels based on key cycle points.
Settings:
Cycle Length: The number of bars after which the possibility of a reversal is assessed.
Trend Sensitivity: A parameter that adjusts sensitivity to trend movements.
Dynamic Levels: Setting for displaying key levels.
Название: Smart Trend Tracker
Описание:
Индикатор Smart Trend Tracker предназначен для анализа рыночных циклов и выявления ключевых точек разворота тренда. Он автоматически размечает уровни поддержки и сопротивления, основываясь на динамике цены, что помогает трейдерам лучше ориентироваться в структуре рынка.
Применение:
Анализ трендов: Индикатор помогает определить моменты, когда тренд может быть близок к развороту, что полезно для принятия решений о входе или выходе из позиции.
Определение уровней поддержки и сопротивления: Автоматически размечает ключевые уровни, что упрощает анализ графика.
Сигналы разворота: Индикатор предоставляет визуальные сигналы о возможных точках разворота, что может быть использовано для стратегий, основанных на контртрендовой торговле.
Как работает:
Анализ последовательности свечей: Индикатор отслеживает количество последовательных свечей в одном направлении (вверх или вниз). Если цена продолжает движение N баров подряд в одном направлении, система фиксирует это как импульсную фазу.
Выявление истощения тренда: После серии направленных баров рынок может достичь точки перегрева. Если цена продолжает двигаться в том же направлении, но с ослаблением импульса, индикатор фиксирует возможное замедление тренда.
Отображение на графике: Индикатор отмечает точки потенциального разворота номерами или специальными маркерами. Также возможен вывод уровней поддержки и сопротивления, основанных на ключевых точках цикла.
Настройки:
Длина цикла (Cycle Length): Количество баров, после которых оценивается возможность разворота.
Фильтрация тренда (Trend Sensitivity): Параметр, регулирующий чувствительность к трендовым движениям.
Уровни поддержки/сопротивления (Dynamic Levels): Настройка для отображения ключевых уровней.
Midnight and 7:30 AM Open with ResetExtreme Discount and Extreme Premium Indicator
This custom indicator identifies the relationship between the current price and key discount and premium levels on the chart. It helps determine whether the price is in an "extreme discount" or "extreme premium" zone, which can be important for making trading decisions based on market structure.
Extreme Discount Zone: The indicator identifies the "extreme discount" zone when the price is below both its extreme discount levels, indicating that the market is in a potential buying area, which could signal a reversal or a good entry point to buy.
Extreme Premium Zone: The indicator marks the "extreme premium" zone when the price is above both its extreme premium levels, suggesting that the market is in a potential selling area, signaling a possible price reversal or a good entry point to sell.
The indicator dynamically adjusts and highlights these zones based on price movement, allowing traders to visualize when the price is reaching extreme levels relative to historical price action.
Key Features:
Detects when the current price is below both extreme discount levels.
Detects when the current price is above both extreme premium levels.
Highlights these extreme areas visually to help traders make informed decisions on buying or selling.
STRAW Volume Spike IndicatorThis is basically a:
High-Volume Impulse Detector
The High-Volume Impulse Detector is a refined tool designed to highlight key moments of explosive volume surges in the market, specifically calibrated for assets like Bitcoin on the 15-minute timeframe. Unlike generic volume-based indicators, this script doesn’t just flag high volume—it intelligently adapts to market dynamics by incorporating a custom-moving average baseline and highlighting instances where volume exceeds a significant threshold relative to the average.
Key Features
✅ Adaptive Volume Benchmark – Uses a dynamic moving average to filter out noise and pinpoint meaningful volume spikes.
✅ Impulse Confirmation – Only highlights volume bars that exceed the 50% threshold above the baseline, ensuring signals capture real liquidity shifts.
✅ Smart Color Coding – Differentiates high-impact bullish and bearish volume with distinct visual cues for easy market structure identification.
✅ Designed for Order Block Traders – Helps validate liquidity-driven price movements essential for refining order block and break-of-structure strategies.
Unlike conventional volume overlays, this tool helps traders connect volume surges to key structural shifts, making it an ideal companion for those navigating momentum shifts, market inefficiencies, and institutional footprints.
⚡ Best used on BTC 15m for tracking aggressive volume-driven moves in real-time.
Waldo RSI Overlay :oWaldo RSI Overlay :o Indicator Guide
Welcome to the guide for the Waldo RSI Overlay :o indicator on TradingView. This tool enhances your trading analysis through RSI-based overlays for trend analysis, divergence detection, and breakout/breakdown signals when used with its companion indicator, Waldo RSI :o.
Key Features:
RSI Overlay:
• RSI Source: Choose from:
o ON RSI: Uses the RSI values directly to detect pivots, focusing on RSI highs and lows for trend analysis.
o ON HIGH, ON CLOSE, ON LOW, ON OPEN:
These options base pivot detection on price action at those specific points, offering an alternative market structure view.
• RSI Settings:
o Source: Default is (H+L)/2, but you can select any price for RSI calculation.
o Length: Default RSI length is 7, which you can adjust for sensitivity.
Trend Lines:
• Show Trend Lines: Toggle to display trend lines based on pivot points.
• Zigzag Length: Sets the sensitivity of pivot point detection.
• Confirm Length: Ensures the validity of pivot points (default is 3).
• Colors: Customize colors for Higher Highs (HH), Lower Highs (LH), Higher Lows (HL), and Lower Lows (LL).
• Transparency and Line Width: Control how trend lines and fills appear.
• Label Size: Adjust the size of labels identifying pivot points.
Divergences:
• Classic Divergences:
o Show Classic Div: Enable to highlight regular divergences where price and RSI move in opposite directions.
o Colors: Define colors for bullish and bearish divergence lines and labels.
o Transparency and Line Width: Adjust the visual impact of divergence signals.
• Hidden Divergences:
o Similar settings as classic, but these highlight divergences indicating trend continuation.
Breakout/Breakdown:
• Show Breakout/Breakdown: When activated, this feature signals when the price breaks through previous highs or lows. To activate these breakouts, you need the companion indicator Waldo RSI :o, select the SRC in the External section, and select the crossovers for each one.
This combination provides RSI confirmation for breakout/breakdown events.
Overbought/Oversold Zones:
• Show Overbought and Oversold Zones: Bars are colored when RSI exceeds 70 (purple) or falls below 30 (blue), indicating potential market extremes.
Moving Averages (Optional):
• Show Moving Averages: Option to overlay two moving averages for trend confirmation.
• Source, Type, Length: Customize each MA's configuration.
Ghost Lines (Optional):
• Ghost Lines: When enabled, trend lines extend for only a specified period (Ghost Length) instead of indefinitely.
How to Use the Indicator:
1. Setup:
o Configure RSI settings by choosing the RSI Source and adjusting the RSI Length to suit your trading style.
o Set the Zigzag Length and Confirm Length for trend line sensitivity based on market volatility.
2. Trend Analysis:
o Look at the colored horizontal lines and fills for HH, LH, HL, LL to discern market structure and potential reversal points.
3. Divergence Detection:
o Identify divergences where price and RSI diverge. Regular divergences might signal trend exhaustion, while hidden ones could indicate trend persistence.
4. Breakout/Breakdown Signals:
o Ensure you have both the Waldo RSI Overlay :o and Waldo RSI :o indicators applied. Green triangles below bars signal breakouts; red ones above indicate breakdowns, based on price movement with RSI confirmation from the companion indicator.
5. Overbought/Oversold:
o Use these colored zones to spot potential momentum shifts or reversal areas.
6. Moving Averages on RSI:
o If used, these can help confirm trends or identify crossover signals for additional trade confirmation.
7. Ghost Lines:
o For a less cluttered chart, enable this to limit how far trend lines extend.
Tips for Usage:
• Always combine this indicator with other analytical tools for better confirmation. No single indicator should guide all decisions.
• Adjust settings according to the asset's behavior and your trading timeframe.
• Regularly review your settings as market dynamics change.
Remember, trading involves risk, and past performance doesn't predict future outcomes. Use this indicator within a comprehensive trading strategy.
Zigzag3 -Invincible3Description:
Zigzag3 - Invincible3 is a powerful and flexible support and resistance indicator for TradingView. Utilizing an enhanced ZigZag algorithm and Dow Theory principles, it detects price pivots, higher highs (HH), lower highs (LH), higher lows (HL), and lower lows (LL). The indicator draws lines and labels to visualize these pivots, making it easier to identify market structure, trends, and potential reversal points.
The Length input allows traders to control the sensitivity of pivot detection.
Support and Resistance Lines:
Displays dotted and solid SR lines based on significant pivots to highlight key market zones.
Option to extend support/resistance lines dynamically with real-time progression for the latest pivot.
Labels for Dow Theory Points:
Mark higher highs, lower highs, higher lows, and lower lows with customizable colors.
Identifies market direction and potential breakout levels with visual clarity.
ZigZag Line Visualization:
Toggle the ZigZag lines to connect pivots for a better understanding of price movement.
Dynamic Dotted Line Progression:
A dotted line extends in real-time from the most recent significant pivot point, aiding in quick analysis.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to analyze market structure, identify trends, and spot potential reversals. It can be used as a standalone tool or in combination with other strategies for enhanced precision.
Fibonacci Levels Strategy with High/Low Criteria-AYNETThis code represents a TradingView strategy that uses Fibonacci levels in conjunction with high/low price criteria over specified lookback periods to determine buy (long) and sell (short) conditions. Below is an explanation of each main part of the code:
Explanation of Key Sections
User Inputs for Higher Time Frame and Candle Settings
Users can select a higher time frame (timeframe) for analysis and specify whether to use the "Current" or "Last" higher time frame (HTF) candle for calculating Fibonacci levels.
The currentlast setting allows flexibility between using real-time or the most recent closed higher time frame candle.
Lookback Periods for High/Low Criteria
Two lookback periods, lowestLookback and highestLookback, allow users to set the number of bars to consider when finding the lowest and highest prices, respectively.
This determines the criteria for entering trades based on how recent highs or lows compare to current prices.
Fibonacci Levels Configuration
Fibonacci levels (0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, and 100%) are configurable. These are used to calculate price levels between the high and low of the higher time frame candle.
Each level represents a retracement or extension relative to the high/low range of the HTF candle, providing important price levels for decision-making.
HTF Candle Calculation
HTF candle data is calculated based on the higher time frame selected by the user, using the newbar check to reset htfhigh, htflow, and htfopen values.
The values are updated with each new HTF bar or as prices move within the same HTF bar to track the highest high and lowest low accurately.
Set Fibonacci Levels Array
Using the calculated HTF candle's high, low, and open, the Fibonacci levels are computed by interpolating these values according to the user-defined Fibonacci levels.
A fibLevels array stores these computed values.
Plotting Fibonacci Levels
Each Fibonacci level is plotted on the chart with a different color, providing visual indicators for potential support/resistance levels.
High/Low Price Criteria Calculation
The lowest and highest prices over the specified lookback periods (lowestLookback and highestLookback) are calculated and plotted on the chart. These serve as dynamic levels to trigger long or short entries.
Trade Signal Conditions
longCondition: A long (buy) signal is generated when the price crosses above both the lowest price criteria and the 50% Fibonacci level.
shortCondition: A short (sell) signal is generated when the price crosses below both the highest price criteria and the 50% Fibonacci level.
Executing Trades
Based on the longCondition and shortCondition, trades are entered with the strategy.entry() function, using the labels "Long" and "Short" for tracking on the chart.
Strategy Use
This strategy allows traders to utilize Fibonacci retracement levels and recent highs/lows to identify trend continuation or reversal points, potentially providing entry points aligned with larger market structure. Adjusting the lowestLookback and highestLookback along with Fibonacci levels enables a customizable approach to suit different trading styles and market conditions.
First 1-Minute Candle High/Low After Specific TimeDescription:
This indicator captures and marks the high and low of the first 1-minute candle after a specified time (default: 9:30 AM) and tracks the highs and lows of the first five candles. The levels marked by these initial candles are often critical in determining early session support and resistance, providing a visual guide for traders monitoring price action in the opening minutes of a trading session.
Key Features and Usage
1-Minute Candle High/Low: The indicator captures the high and low of the first 1-minute candle after the specified session start time. This level is marked with horizontal lines and labels, providing traders with an immediate reference for early-session price extremes.
5-Candle Range High/Low: After the first five candles, the indicator also highlights the highest and lowest levels within this range, offering additional support/resistance lines to aid in understanding early price movements.
Custom Labels and Dynamic Line Extension:
Labels update dynamically and display whether the 1-minute high/low coincides with the 5-minute range high/low, combining these labels if they match.
Horizontal lines extend to the current bar to remain visible throughout the session for consistent reference.
Customization Options
Colors and Label Text: Users can adjust colors for the 1-minute and 5-minute high/low lines and the label text for optimal readability.
Label Position Offset: Labels are placed slightly above or below their respective lines to avoid overlap with price action, maintaining clarity on the chart.
Intended Use
This indicator is especially useful for intraday traders focusing on opening range breakout strategies, scalping, or short-term trend analysis. It is intended for use on intraday charts (such as 1-minute or 5-minute intervals) and provides straightforward levels to assess early market structure.
Technical Details
Customization of Start Time: Users can change the default start time to any desired session opening time, adapting it to various markets or trading sessions.
Dynamic Line and Label Updates: Both lines and labels dynamically extend with the chart, while labels remain easy to read as they shift based on recent price action.
This script is designed to be simple yet powerful, offering key insights into session open levels without relying on predictive or lookahead features. It is useful for real-time analysis and adds value by helping traders identify critical levels in the market's early stages.
Multi Deviation VWAP [OmegaTools]The Multi Deviation VWAP is an original variation of the traditional VWAP indicator, designed to enhance your trading experience by providing more precise market insights. While the conventional VWAP calculates a single price level based on volume and price over a given period, the Multi Deviation VWAP goes a step further by introducing dynamic upper and lower bands that adapt to market conditions. These bands give traders a more comprehensive understanding of volatility and price action, making it an ideal tool for various trading strategies, especially for identifying potential price reversals or trend continuations.
Key Features:
Separate Calculation of Deviation Bands:
Unlike traditional VWAP bands, where both the upper and lower bands are symmetrically calculated using a single deviation value, the Multi Deviation VWAP calculates the deviations independently for the upper and lower bands. This allows for a more accurate reflection of market dynamics.
The upper deviation band is based on the average distance of closing prices above the VWAP, while the lower deviation band considers the average distance of closing prices below the VWAP.
This separation provides a more tailored approach, adapting to whether the market is showing bullish or bearish momentum, as opposed to a fixed, equal deviation in both directions.
Internal and External Bands:
Two sets of deviation bands are plotted: Internal Bands and External Bands, controlled by user inputs (factorone for internal and factortwo for external). These bands offer multiple levels of support and resistance based on market volatility.
The Internal Bands are closer to the VWAP and act as the first level of support/resistance, suitable for short-term or tighter trading ranges.
The External Bands are further from the VWAP and capture more significant market swings, useful for identifying larger trends or setting wider stop-losses.
Timeframe Flexibility:
The indicator allows traders to select the desired timeframe (1D by default) over which the VWAP and its deviation bands are calculated. This flexibility enables users to adapt the indicator to different trading styles, from intraday scalping to longer-term trend analysis.
Visual Enhancements:
Bullish and Bearish Colors: The bands are color-coded for quick visual interpretation. Bullish bands (lower deviations) are colored blue, while bearish bands (upper deviations) are colored red, making it easy to differentiate between market conditions at a glance.
Plot Fill: The area between the internal and external bands is shaded, providing clear visual zones of potential price containment, aiding in understanding the market structure and anticipating price movements.
How It Differs from a Standard VWAP:
Traditional VWAP provides a single price line that represents the volume-weighted average price over a given period, often used to identify general price trends.
In contrast, the Multi Deviation VWAP introduces upper and lower bands calculated separately based on price deviations above and below the VWAP, giving a more nuanced view of market volatility.
Symmetrical bands in traditional VWAP may not always accurately reflect the market's true behavior, especially in trending markets, where upward and downward price movements aren't always equal. By splitting the deviation calculations, this tool provides a more dynamic and realistic view of price action, adapting to whether the market is showing stronger upward or downward pressure.
Use Cases:
Trend Identification: The VWAP line acts as a central trend line, while the deviation bands offer levels of potential support and resistance. When price moves beyond the external bands, it may indicate overextension and potential reversal.
Volatility Trading: Traders can use the internal and external bands to set dynamic take-profit or stop-loss levels, allowing for flexible risk management depending on market conditions.
Range Trading: In consolidating markets, the Multi Deviation VWAP can help traders identify optimal buy and sell zones as the price oscillates between the upper and lower bands.
By incorporating independent deviation bands, this indicator provides traders with a more responsive tool that reflects market behavior more accurately, helping them make informed trading decisions with enhanced precision.
Decoding the Volume of candlesThe indicator is designed for traders who are more interested in market structures and price action using volumes. Volume analysis can help traders build a clearer understanding of zones of buyer and seller interest, as well as liquidity gathering points (traders' stop levels).
Key Features:
The indicator visualizes on the chart the volumes selected according to the trader's chosen settings.
The indicator highlights candle volumes in selected colors, where the volume is greater individually than the volumes of the trader's chosen number of preceding candles. Or the volume that is greater than the sum of volumes of the trader's chosen number of preceding candles.
The indicator mark selected volumes on the chart based on the type of candle. The candle type (1, 2, or 3) is determined by its result (close) relative to other candles.
Volume marked for a type 3 candle draws the trader’s attention to the lack of results from the applied volume compared to the previous candle, indicating potential weakness of the candle’s owner. This is especially important in buyer or seller context areas.
Volume marked for a type 2 candle highlights the presence of results from the applied volume but only relative to the previous candle. In buyer or seller context areas, this can signal weakness of the candle’s owner.
Volume marked for a type 1 candle signals a strong result from the applied volume, indicating potential strength of the candle’s owner.
The marking of volumes can be displayed either on the main chart or on the volume chart, depending on the trader's preference. Colors and symbols for marking can be customized on the Style tab.
Volumes can be filtered on both the volume chart and the main chart according to their marking. This feature can be useful, for example, for traders who don’t work with signs of buyer or seller weakness. In such cases, they can filter out volumes only for type 1 candles.
Good luck exploring the impact of volumes on price behavior!
Volumatic S/R Levels [BigBeluga]THE VOLUMATIC S/R LEVELS
The Volumatic S/R Levels [ BigBeluga ] is an advanced technical analysis tool designed to identify and visualize significant support and resistance levels based on volume and price action.
The core concept of this indicator is to highlight areas where large volume and significant price movements coincide. It does this by plotting horizontal lines at price levels where unusually large candles (in terms of price range) occur alongside high trading volume. These lines represent potential support and resistance levels that are likely to be more significant due to the increased market activity they represent.
⬤ Key Features
Dynamic S/R Level Identification: Automatically detects and displays support and resistance levels from high volume candles.
Volume-Weighted Visualization: Uses line color to see positive or negative volume and box size to represent the strength of each level
Positive and Negative Volume:
Box Size Based on Volume:
Adaptive Levels Color: Adjusts level color based on price above or below level
Real-time Level Extension: Extends identified levels to the right side of the chart for better visibility
Volume and Percentage Labels: Displays volume information and relative strength percentage for each level
Dashed Levels: Displays levels with which price have interact multiple times
Dashboard: Shows max and min level information for quick reference
⬤ How to Use
Identify Key Levels: Look for horizontal lines representing potential support and resistance areas
Assess Level Strength:
- Thicker boxes indicate stronger levels, on which price reacts more
Monitor Price Interactions: Watch how price reacts when approaching these levels for potential trade setups
Volume Confirmation: Use the volume boxes to confirm the significance of each level
Relative Strength Analysis: Check the percentage labels to understand each level's importance relative to others
Trend Analysis: Use the color of the levels (lime for bullish, orange for bearish) to understand the overall market sentiment at different price points
Quick Reference: Utilize the dashboard to see the strongest and weakest levels at a glance
⬤ Customization
Levels Strength: Adjust the minimum threshold for level strength identification (default: 2.4)
Levels Amount: Set the maximum number of levels to display on the chart (max: 20)
The Volumatic S/R Levels indicator provides traders with a sophisticated tool for identifying key price levels backed by significant volume. By visualizing these levels directly on the chart and providing detailed volume and relative strength information, it offers valuable insights into potential areas of support, resistance, and price reversal. The addition of a ranking system and dashboard further enhances the trader's ability to quickly assess the most significant levels. This indicator is particularly useful for traders focusing on volume analysis and those looking to enhance their understanding of market structure. As with all technical tools, it's recommended to use this indicator in conjunction with other forms of analysis for comprehensive trading decisions.
ATR Bands (Keltner Channel), Wick and SRSI Signals [MW]Introduction
This indicator uses a novel combination of ATR Bands, candle wicks crossing the ATR upper and lower bands, and baseline, and combines them with the Stochastic SRSI oscillator to provide early BUY and SELL signals in uptrends, downtrends, and in ranging price conditions.
How it’s unique
People generally understand Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels. Buy at the bottom band, sell at the top band. However, because the bands themselves are not static, impulsive moves can render them useless. People also generally understand wicks. Candles with large wicks can represent a change in pattern, or volatile price movement. Combining those two to determine if price is reaching a pivot point is relatively novel. When Stochastic RSI (SRSI) filtering is also added, it becomes a genuinely unique combination that can be used to determine trade entries and exits.
What’s the benefit
The benefit of the indicator is that it can help potentially identify pivots WHEN THEY HAPPEN, and with potentially minimal retracement, depending on the trader’s time window. Many indicators wait for a trend to be established, or wait for a breakout to occur, or have to wait for some form of confirmation. In the interpretation used by this indicator, bands, wicks, and SRSI cycles provide both the signal and confirmation.
It takes into account 3 elements:
Price approaching the upper or lower band or the baseline - MEANING: Price is becoming extended based on calculations that use the candle trading range.
A candle wick of a defined proportion (e.g. wick is 1/2 the size of a full candle OR candle body) crosses a band or baseline, but the body does not cross the band or baseline - MEANING: Buyers and sellers are both very active.
The Stochastic RSI reading is above 80 for SELL signals and below 20 for BUY signals - MEANING: Additional confirmation that price is becoming extended based on the current cyclic price pattern.
How to Use
SIGNALS
Buy Signals - Green(ish):
B Signal - Potential pivot up from the lower band when using the preferred multiplier
B1 Signal - Potential pivot up from the lower band when using phi * multiplier
B2 Signal - Potential pivot up from the lower band when using 1/2 * multiplier
B3 Signal - Potential pivot up from baseline
Sell Signals - Red(ish):
S Signal - Potential pivot down from the upper band when using the preferred multiplier
S1 Signal - Potential pivot down from the upper band when using
S2 Signal - Potential pivot down from the upper band when using 1/2 * multiplier
S3 Signal - Potential pivot down from the baseline
DISCUSSION
During an uptrend or downtrend, signals from the baseline can help traders identify areas where they may enter the trending move with the least amount of drawdown. In both cases, entry points can occur with baseline signals in the direction of the trend.
For example, in an uptrend (when the price is forming higher highs and higher lows, or when the baseline is rising), price tends to oscillate between the upper band and baseline. In this case, the baseline BUY signal (B3) can show an entry point.
In a downtrend (when the price is forming lower highs and lower lows, or when the baseline is falling), price tends to oscillate between the baseline and the lower band. In this case, the baseline SELL signal (S3) can show an entry point.
During consolidation, when price is ranging, price tends to oscillate between the upper and lower bands, while crossing through the baseline unperturbed. Here, entry points can occur at the upper and lower bands.
When all conditions are met at the lower band during consolidation, a BUY signal (B), can occur. This signal may also occur prior to a break out of consolidation to the upside.
When all conditions are met at the upper band during consolidation, a SELL signal (S), can occur. This signal may also occur prior to a break out of consolidation to the downside.
Additional B1, B2, and S1, and S2 signals can be displayed that use the bands based on a multiplier that is half that of the primary one, and phi (0.618) times the primary multiplier as a way to quickly check for signals occurring along different, but related, bands.
Calculations
ATR Bands, or Keltner Channels, are a technical analysis tool that are used to measure market volatility and identify overbought or oversold conditions in the trading of financial instruments, such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies. ATR Bands consist of three lines plotted on a price chart:
Middle Band, Basis, or Baseline: This is typically a simple moving average (SMA) of the closing prices over a certain period. It represents the intermediate-term trend of the asset's price.
Upper Band: This is calculated by adding a certain number of ATRs to the middle band (SMA). The upper band adjusts itself with the increase in volatility.
Lower Band: This is calculated by subtracting the same number of ATRs from the middle band (SMA). Like the upper band, the lower band adjusts to changes in volatility.
The candle wick signals occur if the wick is at the specified ratio compared to either the entire candle or the candle body. The upper band, lower band, and baseline signals happen if the wick is the specified ratio of the total candle size. For the major signals for upper and lower bands, these occur when the wick extends outside of the bands while closing a candle inside of the bands. For the baseline signals, they occur if a wick crosses a baseline but closes on the other side.
Settings
CHANNEL SETTINGS
Baseline EMA Period (Default: 21): Period length of the moving average basis line.
ATR Period (Default: 21): The number of periods over which the Average True Range (ATR) is calculated.
Basis MA Type (Default: SMA): The moving average type for the basis line.
Multiplier (Default: 2.5: The deviation multiplier used to calculate the band distance from the basis line.
ADDITIONAL CHANNELS
Half of Multiplier Offset (Default: True): Toggles the display of the ATR bands that are set a distance of half of the ATR multiplier.
Quarter of Multiplier Offset (Default: false): Toggles the display of the ATR bands that are set a distance of one quarter of the ATR multiplier.
Phi (Φ) Offset (Default: false): Toggles the display of the ATR bands that are set a distance of phi (Φ) times the ATR multiplier.
WICK SETTINGS FOR CANDLE FILTERS
Wick Ratio for Bands (Default: 0.4): The ratio of wick size to total candle size for use at upper and lower bands.
Wick Ratio for Baseline (Default: 0.4): The ratio of wick size to total candle size for use at baseline.
Use Candle Body (rather than full candle size) (Default: false): Determines whether wick calculations use the candle body or the entire candle size.
VISUAL PREFERENCES - SIGNALS
Show Signals (Default: true): Allows signal labels to be shown.
Show Signals from 1/2 Band Offset (Default: false): Toggle signals originating from 1/2 offset upper and lower bands.
Show Signals from Phi (Φ) Band Offset (Default: false): Toggle signals originating from phi (Φ) offset upper and lower bands.
Show Baseline Signals (Default: false): Toggle Baseline signals.
VISUAL PREFERENCES - BANDS
Show ATR (Keltner) Bands (Default: true): Use a background color inside the Bollinger Bands.
Fill Bands (Default: true): Use a background color inside the Bollinger Bands.
STOCHASTIC SETTINGS
Use Stochastic RSI Filtering (Default: False): This will only trigger some SELL signals when the stochastic RSI is above 80, and BUY signals when below 20.
K (Default: 3): The smoothing level for the Stochastic RSI.
RSI Length (Default: 14): The period length for the RSI calculation.
Stochastic Length (Default: 8): The period length over which the stochastic calculation is performed.
Other Usage Notes and Limitations
To understand future price movement, this indicator assumes that 3 things must be known:
Evidence of a change of market structure. This can be demonstrated by increased volatility, consolidation, volume spikes (which can be tracked with the MW Volume Impulse Indicator) or, in the case of this indicator, candle wicks.
The potential cause of the change. It could be a VWAP line (which can be tracked with the Multi VWAP , and Multi VWAP from Gaps indicators), an event, an important support or resistance level, a key moving average, or many other things. This indicator assumes the ATR bands can be a cause.
The current position in the price cycle. Oscillators like the RSI, and MACD, are typical measures of price oscillation (other oscillators like the Price and Volume Stochastic Divergence indicator can also be useful). This indicator uses the Stochastic RSI oscillator to determine overbought and oversold conditions.
When evidence of the change appears, and the potential cause of the change is identified, and the price oscillation is at a favorable position for the desired trading direction, this indicator will generate a signal.
ATR Bands (or Keltner Channels) are used to determine when price might “revert to the mean”. Crossing, or being near the upper or lower band, can indicate an overbought or oversold condition, which could lead to a price reversal. By tracking the behavior of candle wicks during these events, we can see how active the battle is between buyers and sellers.
If the top of a wick is large, it may indicate that sellers are aggressively attempting to bring the price down. Conversely, if the bottom wick is large, it can indicate that buyers are actively trying to counter the price action caused by selling pressure.
When this wicking action occurs at times when price is not near the upper band, lower band, or baseline, it could indicate the presence of an important level. That could mean a nearby VWAP line, a supply or demand zone, a round price number, or a number of other factors. In any case, this wick may be the first indication of a price reversal.
Shorter baseline periods may be better for short period trading like scalping or day trading, while longer period baselines can show signals that are better suited to swing trading, or longer term investing.
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
The TradingView platform allows a maximum of 500 labels per chart. This means that if your settings allow for a lot of signals, labels for earlier ones may not appear if the total number of labels exceeds 500 for the chart.
Bollinger Band Wick and SRSI Signals [MW]Introduction
This indicator uses a novel combination of Bollinger Bands, candle wicks crossing the upper and lower Bollinger Bands and baseline, and combines them with the Stochastic SRSI oscillator to provide early BUY and SELL signals in uptrends, downtrends, and in ranging price conditions.
How it’s unique
People generally understand Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels. Buy at the bottom band, sell at the top band. However, because the bands themselves are not static, impulsive moves can render them useless. People also generally understand wicks. Candles with large wicks can represent a change in pattern, or volatile price movement. Combining those two to determine if price is reaching a pivot point is relatively novel. When Stochastic RSI (SRSI) filtering is also added, it becomes a genuinely unique combination that can be used to determine trade entries and exits.
What’s the benefit
The benefit of the indicator is that it can help potentially identify pivots WHEN THEY HAPPEN, and with potentially minimal retracement, depending on the trader’s time window. Many indicators wait for a trend to be established, or wait for a breakout to occur, or have to wait for some form of confirmation. In the interpretation used by this indicator, bands, wicks, and SRSI cycles provide both the signal and confirmation.
It takes into account 3 elements:
Price approaching the upper or lower band or the baseline - MEANING: Price is becoming extended based on calculations that use the candle trading range.
A candle wick of a defined proportion (e.g. wick is 1/2 the size of a full candle OR candle body) crosses a band or baseline, but the body does not cross the band or baseline - MEANING: Buyers and sellers are both very active.
The Stochastic RSI reading is above 80 for SELL signals and below 20 for BUY signals - MEANING: Additional confirmation that price is becoming extended based on the current cyclic price pattern.
How to Use
SIGNALS
Buy Signals - Green(ish):
B Signal - Potential pivot up from the lower band when using the preferred multiplier
B1 Signal - Potential pivot up from baseline
Sell Signals - Red(ish):
S Signal - Potential pivot down from the upper band when using the preferred multiplier
S1 Signal - Potential pivot down from the baseline
DISCUSSION
During an uptrend or downtrend, signals from the baseline can help traders identify areas where they may enter the trending move with the least amount of drawdown. In both cases, entry points can occur with baseline signals in the direction of the trend.
For example, in an uptrend (when the price is forming higher highs and higher lows, or when the baseline is rising), price tends to oscillate between the upper band and baseline. In this case, the baseline BUY signal (B3) can show an entry point.
In a downtrend (when the price is forming lower highs and lower lows, or when the baseline is falling), price tends to oscillate between the baseline and the lower band. In this case, the baseline SELL signal (S3) can show an entry point.
During consolidation, when price is ranging, price tends to oscillate between the upper and lower bands, while crossing through the baseline unperturbed. Here, entry points can occur at the upper and lower bands.
When all conditions are met at the lower band during consolidation, a BUY signal (B), can occur. This signal may also occur prior to a break out of consolidation to the upside.
When all conditions are met at the upper band during consolidation, a SELL signal (S), can occur. This signal may also occur prior to a break out of consolidation to the downside.
Additional, B1 and S1 signals can be displayed that use the baseline as the pivot level.
Settings
SIGNALS
Show Bollinger Band Signals (Default: True): Allows signal labels to be shown.
Hide Baseline Signals (Default: False): Baseline signals are on by default. This will turn them off.
Show Wick Signals (Defau
lt: True): Displays signals when wicking occurs.
BOLLINGER BAND SETTINGS
Period length for Bollinger Band Basis (Default: 21): Length of the Bollinger Band (BB) moving average basis line.
Basis MA Type (Default: SMA): The moving average type for the BB Basis line.
Source (Default: “close”): The source of time series data.
Standard Deviation Multiplier (Default: 2.5: The deviation multiplier used to calculate the band distance from the basis line.
WICK SETTINGS FOR BOLLINGER BANDS
Wick Ratio for Bands (Default: 0.3): The ratio of wick size to total candle size for use at upper and lower bands.
Wick Ratio for Baseline (Default: 0.3): The ratio of wick size to total candle size for use at baseline.
WICK SETTINGS FOR CANDLE SIGNALS
Upper Wick Threshold (Default: 50): The percent of upper wick compared to the full candle size or candle body size.
Lower Wick Threshold (Default: 50): The percent of lower wick compared to the full candle size or candle body size.
Use Candle Body (Default: false): Toggles the use of the full candle size versus the candle body size when calculating the wick signal.
VISUAL PREFERENCES
Fill Bands (Default: true): Use a background color inside the Bollinger Bands.
Show Signals (Default: true): Toggle the Bollinger Band upper band, lower band, and baseline signals.
Show Bollinger Bands (Default: true): Show the Bollinger Bands.
STOCHASTIC SETTINGS
Use Stochastic RSI Filtering (Default: False): This will only trigger some SELL signals when the stochastic RSI is above 80, and BUY signals when below 20.
K (Default: 3): The smoothing level for the Stochastic RSI.
RSI Length (Default: 14): The period length for the RSI calculation.
Stochastic Length (Default: 8): The period length over which the stochastic calculation is performed.
Calculations
Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis tool that are used to measure market volatility and identify overbought or oversold conditions in the trading of financial instruments, such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies. Bollinger Bands consist of three lines plotted on a price chart:
Middle Band, Basis, or Baseline: This is typically a simple moving average (SMA) of the closing prices over a certain period. It represents the intermediate-term trend of the asset's price.
Upper Band: This is calculated by adding a certain number of standard deviations to the middle band (SMA). The upper band adjusts itself with the increase in volatility.
Lower Band: This is calculated by subtracting the same number of standard deviations from the middle band (SMA). Like the upper band, the lower band adjusts to changes in volatility.
The candle wick signals occur if the wick is at the specified ratio compared to either the entire candle or the candle body. The upper band, lower band, and baseline signals happen if the wick is the specified ratio of the total candle size. For the major signals for upper and lower bands, these occur when the wick extends outside of the bands while closing a candle inside of the bands. For the baseline signals, they occur if a wick crosses a baseline but closes on the other side.
Other Usage Notes and Limitations
To understand future price movement, this indicator assumes that 3 things must be known:
Evidence of a change of market structure. This can be demonstrated by increased volatility, consolidation, volume spikes (which can be tracked with the MW Volume Impulse Indicator) or, in the case of this indicator, candle wicks.
The potential cause of the change. It could be a VWAP line (which can be tracked with the Multi VWAP , and Multi VWAP from Gaps indicators), an event, an important support or resistance level, a key moving average, or many other things. This indicator assumes the ATR bands can be a cause.
The current position in the price cycle. Oscillators like the RSI, and MACD, are typical measures of price oscillation (other oscillators like the Price and Volume Stochastic Divergence indicator can also be useful). This indicator uses the Stochastic RSI oscillator to determine overbought and oversold conditions.
When evidence of the change appears, and the potential cause of the change is identified, and the price oscillation is at a favorable position for the desired trading direction, this indicator will generate a signal.
ATR Bands (or Keltner Channels) are used to determine when price might “revert to the mean”. Crossing, or being near the upper or lower band, can indicate an overbought or oversold condition, which could lead to a price reversal. By tracking the behavior of candle wicks during these events, we can see how active the battle is between buyers and sellers.
If the top of a wick is large, it may indicate that sellers are aggressively attempting to bring the price down. Conversely, if the bottom wick is large, it can indicate that buyers are actively trying to counter the price action caused by selling pressure.
When this wicking action occurs at times when price is not near the upper band, lower band, or baseline, it could indicate the presence of an important level. That could mean a nearby VWAP line, a supply or demand zone, a round price number, or a number of other factors. In any case, this wick may be the first indication of a price reversal.
Shorter baseline periods may be better for short period trading like scalping or day trading, while longer period baselines can show signals that are better suited to swing trading, or longer term investing.
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
The TradingView platform allows a maximum of 500 labels per chart. This means that if your settings allow for a lot of signals, labels for earlier ones may not appear if the total number of labels exceeds 500 for the chart.
BAERMThe Bitcoin Auto-correlation Exchange Rate Model: A Novel Two Step Approach
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. THIS ARTICLE IS FOR EDUCATIONAL AND ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.
If you enjoy this software and information, please consider contributing to my lightning address
Prelude
It has been previously established that the Bitcoin daily USD exchange rate series is extremely auto-correlated
In this article, we will utilise this fact to build a model for Bitcoin/USD exchange rate. But not a model for predicting the exchange rate, but rather a model to understand the fundamental reasons for the Bitcoin to have this exchange rate to begin with.
This is a model of sound money, scarcity and subjective value.
Introduction
Bitcoin, a decentralised peer to peer digital value exchange network, has experienced significant exchange rate fluctuations since its inception in 2009. In this article, we explore a two-step model that reasonably accurately captures both the fundamental drivers of Bitcoin’s value and the cyclical patterns of bull and bear markets. This model, whilst it can produce forecasts, is meant more of a way of understanding past exchange rate changes and understanding the fundamental values driving the ever increasing exchange rate. The forecasts from the model are to be considered inconclusive and speculative only.
Data preparation
To develop the BAERM, we used historical Bitcoin data from Coin Metrics, a leading provider of Bitcoin market data. The dataset includes daily USD exchange rates, block counts, and other relevant information. We pre-processed the data by performing the following steps:
Fixing date formats and setting the dataset’s time index
Generating cumulative sums for blocks and halving periods
Calculating daily rewards and total supply
Computing the log-transformed price
Step 1: Building the Base Model
To build the base model, we analysed data from the first two epochs (time periods between Bitcoin mining reward halvings) and regressed the logarithm of Bitcoin’s exchange rate on the mining reward and epoch. This base model captures the fundamental relationship between Bitcoin’s exchange rate, mining reward, and halving epoch.
where Yt represents the exchange rate at day t, Epochk is the kth epoch (for that t), and epsilont is the error term. The coefficients beta0, beta1, and beta2 are estimated using ordinary least squares regression.
Base Model Regression
We use ordinary least squares regression to estimate the coefficients for the betas in figure 2. In order to reduce the possibility of over-fitting and ensure there is sufficient out of sample for testing accuracy, the base model is only trained on the first two epochs. You will notice in the code we calculate the beta2 variable prior and call it “phaseplus”.
The code below shows the regression for the base model coefficients:
\# Run the regression
mask = df\ < 2 # we only want to use Epoch's 0 and 1 to estimate the coefficients for the base model
reg\_X = df.loc\ [mask, \ \].shift(1).iloc\
reg\_y = df.loc\ .iloc\
reg\_X = sm.add\_constant(reg\_X)
ols = sm.OLS(reg\_y, reg\_X).fit()
coefs = ols.params.values
print(coefs)
The result of this regression gives us the coefficients for the betas of the base model:
\
or in more human readable form: 0.029, 0.996869586, -0.00043. NB that for the auto-correlation/momentum beta, we did NOT round the significant figures at all. Since the momentum is so important in this model, we must use all available significant figures.
Fundamental Insights from the Base Model
Momentum effect: The term 0.997 Y suggests that the exchange rate of Bitcoin on a given day (Yi) is heavily influenced by the exchange rate on the previous day. This indicates a momentum effect, where the price of Bitcoin tends to follow its recent trend.
Momentum effect is a phenomenon observed in various financial markets, including stocks and other commodities. It implies that an asset’s price is more likely to continue moving in its current direction, either upwards or downwards, over the short term.
The momentum effect can be driven by several factors:
Behavioural biases: Investors may exhibit herding behaviour or be subject to cognitive biases such as confirmation bias, which could lead them to buy or sell assets based on recent trends, reinforcing the momentum.
Positive feedback loops: As more investors notice a trend and act on it, the trend may gain even more traction, leading to a self-reinforcing positive feedback loop. This can cause prices to continue moving in the same direction, further amplifying the momentum effect.
Technical analysis: Many traders use technical analysis to make investment decisions, which often involves studying historical exchange rate trends and chart patterns to predict future exchange rate movements. When a large number of traders follow similar strategies, their collective actions can create and reinforce exchange rate momentum.
Impact of halving events: In the Bitcoin network, new bitcoins are created as a reward to miners for validating transactions and adding new blocks to the blockchain. This reward is called the block reward, and it is halved approximately every four years, or every 210,000 blocks. This event is known as a halving.
The primary purpose of halving events is to control the supply of new bitcoins entering the market, ultimately leading to a capped supply of 21 million bitcoins. As the block reward decreases, the rate at which new bitcoins are created slows down, and this can have significant implications for the price of Bitcoin.
The term -0.0004*(50/(2^epochk) — (epochk+1)²) accounts for the impact of the halving events on the Bitcoin exchange rate. The model seems to suggest that the exchange rate of Bitcoin is influenced by a function of the number of halving events that have occurred.
Exponential decay and the decreasing impact of the halvings: The first part of this term, 50/(2^epochk), indicates that the impact of each subsequent halving event decays exponentially, implying that the influence of halving events on the Bitcoin exchange rate diminishes over time. This might be due to the decreasing marginal effect of each halving event on the overall Bitcoin supply as the block reward gets smaller and smaller.
This is antithetical to the wrong and popular stock to flow model, which suggests the opposite. Given the accuracy of the BAERM, this is yet another reason to question the S2F model, from a fundamental perspective.
The second part of the term, (epochk+1)², introduces a non-linear relationship between the halving events and the exchange rate. This non-linear aspect could reflect that the impact of halving events is not constant over time and may be influenced by various factors such as market dynamics, speculation, and changing market conditions.
The combination of these two terms is expressed by the graph of the model line (see figure 3), where it can be seen the step from each halving is decaying, and the step up from each halving event is given by a parabolic curve.
NB - The base model has been trained on the first two halving epochs and then seeded (i.e. the first lag point) with the oldest data available.
Constant term: The constant term 0.03 in the equation represents an inherent baseline level of growth in the Bitcoin exchange rate.
In any linear or linear-like model, the constant term, also known as the intercept or bias, represents the value of the dependent variable (in this case, the log-scaled Bitcoin USD exchange rate) when all the independent variables are set to zero.
The constant term indicates that even without considering the effects of the previous day’s exchange rate or halving events, there is a baseline growth in the exchange rate of Bitcoin. This baseline growth could be due to factors such as the network’s overall growth or increasing adoption, or changes in the market structure (more exchanges, changes to the regulatory environment, improved liquidity, more fiat on-ramps etc).
Base Model Regression Diagnostics
Below is a summary of the model generated by the OLS function
OLS Regression Results
\==============================================================================
Dep. Variable: logprice R-squared: 0.999
Model: OLS Adj. R-squared: 0.999
Method: Least Squares F-statistic: 2.041e+06
Date: Fri, 28 Apr 2023 Prob (F-statistic): 0.00
Time: 11:06:58 Log-Likelihood: 3001.6
No. Observations: 2182 AIC: -5997.
Df Residuals: 2179 BIC: -5980.
Df Model: 2
Covariance Type: nonrobust
\==============================================================================
coef std err t P>|t| \
\------------------------------------------------------------------------------
const 0.0292 0.009 3.081 0.002 0.011 0.048
logprice 0.9969 0.001 1012.724 0.000 0.995 0.999
phaseplus -0.0004 0.000 -2.239 0.025 -0.001 -5.3e-05
\==============================================================================
Omnibus: 674.771 Durbin-Watson: 1.901
Prob(Omnibus): 0.000 Jarque-Bera (JB): 24937.353
Skew: -0.765 Prob(JB): 0.00
Kurtosis: 19.491 Cond. No. 255.
\==============================================================================
Below we see some regression diagnostics along with the regression itself.
Diagnostics: We can see that the residuals are looking a little skewed and there is some heteroskedasticity within the residuals. The coefficient of determination, or r2 is very high, but that is to be expected given the momentum term. A better r2 is manually calculated by the sum square of the difference of the model to the untrained data. This can be achieved by the following code:
\# Calculate the out-of-sample R-squared
oos\_mask = df\ >= 2
oos\_actual = df.loc\
oos\_predicted = df.loc\
residuals\_oos = oos\_actual - oos\_predicted
SSR = np.sum(residuals\_oos \*\* 2)
SST = np.sum((oos\_actual - oos\_actual.mean()) \*\* 2)
R2\_oos = 1 - SSR/SST
print("Out-of-sample R-squared:", R2\_oos)
The result is: 0.84, which indicates a very close fit to the out of sample data for the base model, which goes some way to proving our fundamental assumption around subjective value and sound money to be accurate.
Step 2: Adding the Damping Function
Next, we incorporated a damping function to capture the cyclical nature of bull and bear markets. The optimal parameters for the damping function were determined by regressing on the residuals from the base model. The damping function enhances the model’s ability to identify and predict bull and bear cycles in the Bitcoin market. The addition of the damping function to the base model is expressed as the full model equation.
This brings me to the question — why? Why add the damping function to the base model, which is arguably already performing extremely well out of sample and providing valuable insights into the exchange rate movements of Bitcoin.
Fundamental reasoning behind the addition of a damping function:
Subjective Theory of Value: The cyclical component of the damping function, represented by the cosine function, can be thought of as capturing the periodic fluctuations in market sentiment. These fluctuations may arise from various factors, such as changes in investor risk appetite, macroeconomic conditions, or technological advancements. Mathematically, the cyclical component represents the frequency of these fluctuations, while the phase shift (α and β) allows for adjustments in the alignment of these cycles with historical data. This flexibility enables the damping function to account for the heterogeneity in market participants’ preferences and expectations, which is a key aspect of the subjective theory of value.
Time Preference and Market Cycles: The exponential decay component of the damping function, represented by the term e^(-0.0004t), can be linked to the concept of time preference and its impact on market dynamics. In financial markets, the discounting of future cash flows is a common practice, reflecting the time value of money and the inherent uncertainty of future events. The exponential decay in the damping function serves a similar purpose, diminishing the influence of past market cycles as time progresses. This decay term introduces a time-dependent weight to the cyclical component, capturing the dynamic nature of the Bitcoin market and the changing relevance of past events.
Interactions between Cyclical and Exponential Decay Components: The interplay between the cyclical and exponential decay components in the damping function captures the complex dynamics of the Bitcoin market. The damping function effectively models the attenuation of past cycles while also accounting for their periodic nature. This allows the model to adapt to changing market conditions and to provide accurate predictions even in the face of significant volatility or structural shifts.
Now we have the fundamental reasoning for the addition of the function, we can explore the actual implementation and look to other analogies for guidance —
Financial and physical analogies to the damping function:
Mathematical Aspects: The exponential decay component, e^(-0.0004t), attenuates the amplitude of the cyclical component over time. This attenuation factor is crucial in modelling the diminishing influence of past market cycles. The cyclical component, represented by the cosine function, accounts for the periodic nature of market cycles, with α determining the frequency of these cycles and β representing the phase shift. The constant term (+3) ensures that the function remains positive, which is important for practical applications, as the damping function is added to the rest of the model to obtain the final predictions.
Analogies to Existing Damping Functions: The damping function in the BAERM is similar to damped harmonic oscillators found in physics. In a damped harmonic oscillator, an object in motion experiences a restoring force proportional to its displacement from equilibrium and a damping force proportional to its velocity. The equation of motion for a damped harmonic oscillator is:
x’’(t) + 2γx’(t) + ω₀²x(t) = 0
where x(t) is the displacement, ω₀ is the natural frequency, and γ is the damping coefficient. The damping function in the BAERM shares similarities with the solution to this equation, which is typically a product of an exponential decay term and a sinusoidal term. The exponential decay term in the BAERM captures the attenuation of past market cycles, while the cosine term represents the periodic nature of these cycles.
Comparisons with Financial Models: In finance, damped oscillatory models have been applied to model interest rates, stock prices, and exchange rates. The famous Black-Scholes option pricing model, for instance, assumes that stock prices follow a geometric Brownian motion, which can exhibit oscillatory behavior under certain conditions. In fixed income markets, the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model for interest rates also incorporates mean reversion and stochastic volatility, leading to damped oscillatory dynamics.
By drawing on these analogies, we can better understand the technical aspects of the damping function in the BAERM and appreciate its effectiveness in modelling the complex dynamics of the Bitcoin market. The damping function captures both the periodic nature of market cycles and the attenuation of past events’ influence.
Conclusion
In this article, we explored the Bitcoin Auto-correlation Exchange Rate Model (BAERM), a novel 2-step linear regression model for understanding the Bitcoin USD exchange rate. We discussed the model’s components, their interpretations, and the fundamental insights they provide about Bitcoin exchange rate dynamics.
The BAERM’s ability to capture the fundamental properties of Bitcoin is particularly interesting. The framework underlying the model emphasises the importance of individuals’ subjective valuations and preferences in determining prices. The momentum term, which accounts for auto-correlation, is a testament to this idea, as it shows that historical price trends influence market participants’ expectations and valuations. This observation is consistent with the notion that the price of Bitcoin is determined by individuals’ preferences based on past information.
Furthermore, the BAERM incorporates the impact of Bitcoin’s supply dynamics on its price through the halving epoch terms. By acknowledging the significance of supply-side factors, the model reflects the principles of sound money. A limited supply of money, such as that of Bitcoin, maintains its value and purchasing power over time. The halving events, which reduce the block reward, play a crucial role in making Bitcoin increasingly scarce, thus reinforcing its attractiveness as a store of value and a medium of exchange.
The constant term in the model serves as the baseline for the model’s predictions and can be interpreted as an inherent value attributed to Bitcoin. This value emphasizes the significance of the underlying technology, network effects, and Bitcoin’s role as a medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account. These aspects are all essential for a sound form of money, and the model’s ability to account for them further showcases its strength in capturing the fundamental properties of Bitcoin.
The BAERM offers a potential robust and well-founded methodology for understanding the Bitcoin USD exchange rate, taking into account the key factors that drive it from both supply and demand perspectives.
In conclusion, the Bitcoin Auto-correlation Exchange Rate Model provides a comprehensive fundamentally grounded and hopefully useful framework for understanding the Bitcoin USD exchange rate.
Order Blocks Finder [TradingFinder] Major OB | Supply and Demand🔵 Introduction
Drawing all order blocks on the path, especially in range-bound or channeling markets, fills the chart with lines, making it confusing rather than providing the trader with the best entry and exit points.
🔵 Reason for Indicator Creation
For traders familiar with market structure and only need to know the main accumulation points (best entry or exit points), and primary order blocks that act as strong sources of power.
🟣 Important Note
All order blocks, both ascending and descending, are identified and displayed on the chart when the structure of "BOS" or "CHOCH" is broken, which can also be identified with "MSS."
🔵 How to Use
When the indicator is installed, it plots all order blocks (active order blocks) and continues until the price reaches them. This continuation happens in boxes to have a better view in the TradingView chart.
Green Range : Ascending order blocks where we expect a price increase in these areas.
Red Range : Descending order blocks where we expect a price decrease in these areas.
🔵 Settings
Order block refine setting : When Order block refine is off, the supply and demand zones are the entire length of the order block (Low to High) in their standard state and cannot be improved. If you turn on Order block refine, supply and demand zones will improve using the error correction algorithm.
Refine type setting : Improving order blocks using the error correction algorithm can be done in two ways: Defensive and Aggressive. In the Aggressive method, the largest possible range is considered for order blocks.
🟣 Important
The main advantage of the Aggressive method is minimizing the loss of stops, but due to the widening of the supply or demand zone, the reward-to-risk ratio decreases significantly. The Aggressive method is suitable for individuals who take high-risk trades.
In the Defensive method, the range of order blocks is minimized to their standard state. In this case, fewer stops are triggered, and the reward-to-risk ratio is maximized in its optimal state. It is recommended for individuals who trade with low risk.
Show high level setting : If you want to display major high levels, set show high level to Yes.
Show low level setting : If you want to display major low levels, set show low level to Yes.
🔵 How to Use
The general view of this indicator is as follows.
When the price approaches the range, wait for the price reaction to confirm it, such as a pin bar or divergence.
If the price passes with a strong candle (spike), especially after a long-range or at the beginning of sessions, a powerful event is happening, and it is outside the credibility level.
An Example of a Valid Zone
An Example of Breakout and Invalid Zone. (My suggestion is not to use pending orders, especially when the market is highly volatile or before and after news.)
After reaching this zone, expect the price to move by at least the minimum candle that confirmed it or a price ceiling or floor.
🟣 Important : These factors can be more accurately measured with other trend finder indicators provided.
🔵 Auxiliary Tools
There is much talk about not using trend lines, candlesticks, Fibonacci, etc., in the web space. However, our suggestion is to create and use tools that can help you profit from this market.
• Fibonacci Retracement
• Trading Sessions
• Candlesticks
🔵 Advantages
• Plotting main OBs without additional lines;
• Suitable for timeframes M1, M5, M15, H1, and H4;
• Effective in Tokyo, Sydney, and London sessions;
• Plotting the main ceiling and floor to help identify the trend.
Candlestick Patterns [NAS Algo]Candlestick Patterns plots most commonly used chart patterns to help and understand the market structure.
Bullish Reversal Patterns:
Hammer:
Appearance: Small body near the high, long lower shadow.
Interpretation: Indicates potential bullish reversal after a downtrend.
Inverted Hammer:
Appearance: Small body near the low, long upper shadow.
Interpretation: Signals potential bullish reversal, especially when the preceding trend is bearish.
Three White Soldiers:
Appearance: Three consecutive long bullish candles with higher closes.
Interpretation: Suggests a strong reversal of a downtrend.
Bullish Harami:
Appearance: Small candle (body) within the range of the previous large bearish candle.
Interpretation: Implies potential bullish reversal.
Bearish Reversal Patterns:
Hanging Man:
Appearance: Small body near the high, long lower shadow.
Interpretation: Suggests potential bearish reversal after an uptrend.
Shooting Star:
Appearance: Small body near the low, long upper shadow.
Interpretation: Indicates potential bearish reversal, especially after an uptrend.
Three Black Crows:
Appearance: Three consecutive long bearish candles with lower closes.
Interpretation: Signals a strong reversal of an uptrend.
Bearish Harami:
Appearance: Small candle (body) within the range of the previous large bullish candle.
Interpretation: Implies potential bearish reversal.
Dark Cloud Cover:
Appearance: Bearish reversal pattern where a bullish candle is followed by a bearish candle that opens above the high of the previous candle and closes below its midpoint.
Continuation Patterns:
Rising Three Methods:
Appearance: Consists of a long bullish candle followed by three small bearish candles and another bullish candle.
Interpretation: Indicates the continuation of an uptrend.
Falling Three Methods:
Appearance: Consists of a long bearish candle followed by three small bullish candles and another bearish candle.
Interpretation: Suggests the continuation of a downtrend.
Gravestone Doji:
Appearance: Doji candle with a long upper shadow, little or no lower shadow, and an opening/closing price near the low.
Interpretation: Signals potential reversal, particularly in an uptrend.
Long-Legged Doji:
Appearance: Doji with long upper and lower shadows and a small real body.
Interpretation: Indicates indecision in the market and potential reversal.
Dragonfly Doji:
Appearance: Doji with a long lower shadow and little or no upper shadow.
Interpretation: Suggests potential reversal, especially in a downtrend.
Candle volume analysis The indicator is designed for traders who are more interested in market structures and price action using volumes. Volume analysis can help traders build a clearer understanding of zones of buyer and seller interest, as well as places to capture liquidity (traders' stop levels).
Key Features:
The indicator highlights candle volumes in selected colors, where the volume is greater individually than the volumes of the trader's chosen number of preceding candles. Or the volume that is greater than the sum of volumes of the trader's chosen number of preceding candles.
Opening Range Gap + Std Dev [starclique]The ICT Opening Range Gap is a concept taught by Inner Circle Trader and is discussed in the videos: 'One Trading Setup For Life' and 2023 ICT Mentorship - Opening Range Gap Repricing Macro
ORGs, or Opening Range Gaps, are gaps that form only on the Regular Trading Hours chart.
The Regular Trading Hours gap occurs between 16:15 PM - 9:29 AM EST (UTC-4)
These times are considered overnight trading, so it is useful to filter the PA (price action) formed there.
The RTH option is only available for futures contracts and continuous futures from CME Group.
To change your chart to RTH, first things first, make sure you’re looking at a futures contract for an asset class, then on the bottom right of your chart, you’ll see ETH (by default) - Click on that, and change it to RTH.
Now your charts are filtering the price action that happened overnight.
To draw out your gap, use the Close of the 4:14 PM candle and the open of the 9:30 AM candle.
How is this concept useful?
Well, It can be used in many ways.
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How To Use The ORG
One of the ways you can use the opening range gap is simply as support and resistance
If we extend out the ORG from the example above, we can see that there is a clean retest of the opening range gap high after breaking structure to the upside and showing acceptance outside of the gap after consolidating within it.
The ORG High (4:14 Candle Close in this case) was used as support.
We then see an expansion to the upside.
Another way to implement the ORG is by using it as a draw on liquidity (magnet for price)
In this example, if we looked to the left, there was a huge ORG to the downside, leaving a massive gap.
The market will want to rebalance that gap during the regular trading hours.
The market rallies higher, rejects, comes down to clear the current days ORG low, then closes.
That is one example of how you can combine liquidity & ICT market structure concepts with Opening Range Gaps to create a story in the charts.
Now let’s discuss standard deviations.
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Standard Deviations
Standard Deviations are essentially projection levels for ranges / POIs (Point of Interests)
By this I mean, if you have a range, and you would like to see where it could potentially expand to, you’d place your fibonacci retracement tool on and high and low of the range, then use extension levels to find specific price points where price might reject from.
Since 0 and 1 are your Range High and Low respectively, your projection levels would be something like 1.5, 2, 2.5, and 3, for the extension from your 1 Fib Level, and -0.5, -1, -1.5, and -2 for your 0 Fib level.
The -1 and 2 level produce a 1:1 projection of your range low and high, meaning, if you expect price to expand as much as it did from the range low to range high, then you can project a -1 and 2 on your Fib, and it would show you what ICT calls “symmetrical price”
Now, how are standard deviations relevant here?
Well, if you’ve been paying attention to ICT’s recent videos, you would’ve caught that he’s recently started using Standard Deviation levels on breakers.
So my brain got going while watching his video on ORGs, and I decided to place the fib on the ORG high and low and see what it’d produce.
The results were very interesting.
Using this same example, if we place our fib on the ORG High and Low, and add some projection levels, we can see that we rejected right at the -2 Standard Deviation Level.
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You can see that I also marked out the EQ (Equilibrium, 50%, 0.5 of Fib) of the ORG. This is because we can use this level as a take profit level if we’re using an old ORG as our draw.
In days like these, where the gap formed was within a consolidation, and it continued to consolidate within the ORG zone that we extended, we can use the EQ in the same way we’d use an EQ for a range.
If it’s showing acceptance above the EQ, we are bullish, and expect the high of the ORG to be tapped, and vice versa.
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Using The Indicator
Here’s where our indicator comes in play.
To avoid having to do all this work of zooming in and marking out the close and open of the respective ORG candles, we created the Opening Range Gap + Standard Deviations Indicator, with the help of our dedicated Star Clique coder, a1tmaniac.
With the ORG + STD DEV indicator, you will be able to view ORG’s and their projections on the ETH (Electronic Trading Hours) chart.
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Features
Range Box
- Change the color of your Opening Range Gap to your liking
- Enable or disable the box from appearing using the checkbox
Range Midline
- Change the color of your Opening Range Gap Equilibrium
- Enable or disable the midline from appearing using the checkbox
Std. Dev
- Add whichever standard deviation levels you’d like.
- By default, the indicator comes with 0.5, 1, 1.5, and 2 standard deviation levels.
- Ensure that you add a comma ( , ) in between each standard deviation level
- Enable or disable the standard deviations from appearing using the opacity of the color (change to 0%)
Labels / Offset
- Adjust the offset of the label for the Standard Deviations
- Enable or disable the Labels from appearing using the checkbox
Time
- Adjust the time used for the indicators range
- If you’d like to use this for a Session or ICT Killzone instead, adjust the time
- Adjust the timezone used for the time referenced
- Options are UTC, US (UTC-4, New York Local Time) or UK (UTC+1, London Time)
- By default, the indicator is set to US
Liquidity Candles with Prev Day High/Low and Midnight OpenAlright, let's talk about how to use this fancy indicator. But first, let me warn you, using indicators is like driving a car, you can't just press the gas pedal and hope for the best. You need to know what you're doing, or else you'll crash and burn faster than a soufflé in a microwave.
Now, let's get started. The first thing you need to do is understand what this indicator is telling you. Think of it like a signalman at a train station. He's waving flags and giving hand signals to tell you whether it's safe to proceed or if you need to stop and wait. This indicator works the same way.
It's going to give you signals based on price movements, telling you whether it's safe to buy or sell. But don't get too excited, my friend. You still need to use your brain and make smart decisions. Don't just blindly follow the signals, or else you'll end up like a sheep being led to the slaughter.
Now, let's talk about some of ICT's smart money trading concepts. First up, we have "liquidity grabs". This is when the big boys in the market create false breakouts to shake out the weak hands. They're like school bullies stealing lunch money from the little kids. But you can avoid being a victim by watching for signs of a liquidity grab, and using your brain to decide whether it's a real breakout or just a trap.
Next up, we have "stop runs". This is when the big players purposely trigger stop-loss orders to get a better entry or exit. It's like a game of chicken, but with your money on the line. To avoid being run over, keep an eye on your stop-loss orders, and don't be too predictable in your trading.
Finally, we have "market structure". This is like the blueprint of the market, showing you where the support and resistance levels are. It's like a treasure map to finding the best trades. But don't forget that market structure can change over time, so keep updating your map and stay ahead of the game.
So there you have it, my friend. A quick tutorial on using this indicator, with a side of ICT's smart money trading concepts. But remember, indicators are just tools, and you're the one driving the car. Use your brain, stay alert, and don't be a sheep. Happy trading!
Divergent Trades LLC:
Disclaimer: The information provided by the Divergent Trades LLC indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any financial instrument. Divergent Trades LLC is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this indicator. Trading in the financial markets carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before making any investment decisions, please consult with a financial advisor and do your own due diligence. Past performance is not indicative of future results. By using the Divergent Trades LLC indicator, you acknowledge that you have read and understand this disclaimer and agree to its terms and conditions.
Faytterro Market Structerethis indicator creates the market structure with a little delay but perfectly. each zigzag is always drawn from highest to lowest. It also signals when the market structure is broken. signals fade over time.
The table above shows the percentage distance of the price from the last high and the last low.
zigzags are painted green when making higher peaks, while lower peaks are considered downtrends and are painted red. In fact, the indicator is quite simple to understand and use.
"length" is used to change the frequency of the signal.
"go to past" is used to see historical data.
Please review the examples:
CANDLE FILTER Todays scripts is based on my Pullback And Rally Candles with other meaningful candles such as Hammers and Dojis.
You can choose which Candles to show on the cart and if you want to candles to appear above or below a moving average.
If you follow my work, you may recognise some of these candles which I'm about to show you however these candles are 1) more refined and 2) has moving average filters.
Ive included a D,6H,1H Candle in this script as on different timeframes - each swing low on average has a different amount of bars within the swing low / swing high so the DPB and RD will only work on the Daily
//Pullback candle
This candle is very powerful when used with simple Price Action such as Market Structure//Demand zones and support zones. (((((WORKS BEST IN UPTRENDS AND BOTTOM OF RANGES)))))
Ive included a D,6H,1H Pullback Candle in this script as on different timeframes - each swing low on average has a different amount of bars within the swing low so the DPB will only work on the Daily
//DAILY PULLBACK (Swing Traders)
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//4H PULLBACK (Swing Traders)
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- this signal will produce more signals due to the swing low filter on the 4H
//1H PULLBACK
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- this signal has been refined due to too many candle displaying in weak areas
!!!IF YOU DONT WANT TO USE PULLBACKS DURING DOWNTRENDS THEN USE THE EMA FILTER TO TURN OFF THE PULLBACKS WHEN PRICE IS BELOW THE MOVING AVERAGE!!!
//Rally candle (My personal Favourite) (((((WORKS BEST IN DOWNTRENDS AND TOP OF RANGES)))))
This candle is very powerful when used with simple Price Action such as Market Structure//Supply zones and Resistance zones.
//DAILY RALLY(Swing Traders)
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//4H RALLY(Swing Traders)
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- this signal will produce more signals due to the swing high filter on the 4H
!!!IF YOU DONT WANT TO USE RALLIES DURING UPTRENDSTHEN USE THE EMA FILTER TO TURN OFF THE RALLIES WHEN PRICE IS ABOVE THE MOVING AVERAGE!!!
//POWERFUL DOJIS (INDECISION)
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We look for indecision in key areas to see if momentum is shifting. When combined with Pullbacks or Rallys - this will enhance the odds of a probably area.
//HAMMERS
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//MOVING AVERAGES
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Short EMA = 50
Long EMA = 200
This filter can be used when the market is trending - look out for rejections off the moving averages
Also you can chance the Short And Long EMA to choose which MA cross you want to use
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ALSO ALL THE CANDLES HAVE A ALERT CONDITIONS WHICH YOU CAN ACCESS - THIS WILL ALERT ANY CANDLE YOU CHOOSE
Please leave a like/comment on this post as this is much appreciated....
